The AWEX EMI closed the week on 1137c up 7c at auction sales in Australia this week. With only 31,383 bales on offer (the smallest national offering for 11 months) the market was under pressure to perform. The AUD v USD delivered a relatively stable currency exchange rate which saw the EMI in USD record a 3c rise. Clearance rates were also relatively high with 94.7% of the offering clearing to the trade. The past month has seen similar clearance rates, indicating the possibility of grower acceptance at this price level or the requirement for the wool proceeds to meet the increasing financial requirements of farm inputs. |
Commentary: It’s very hard to get excited with a slight uplift in the EMI this week. The EMI averaged 1198c in January, 1161c in February, 1158c in March, 1153c in April and 1137c in May. The weakening trend signals and imbalance between demand remaining fragile, and the diminishing supply and no pipeline stock keeping the processors guessing.
Overshadowing news of the Middle East dispute between Israel and Hamas, the ongoing Russian V Ukraine War was the news today and out of the US, the court ruling against Donald Trump in the hush money trial. Already there are warnings that the landmark ruling may bring some fluctuations on world markets as we await the mid-July sentencing I hope you have been following the Keep the Sheep Campaign. Keep the Sheep is a grassroots movement born to act against the Albanese Government’s ban on live sheep exports. The ban will devastate WA farming families and their communities. More than that, it will have consequences that will hurt truckies, stock agents, shearers, and sporting clubs in WA towns like Kojonup, Wagin and Kulin. The nations that buy our sheep overseas are concerned about the ban. They trade with Australia for our high quality and superior sheep. The ban won’t create demand for chilled or boxed meat, it will push the trade to countries with far lower animal welfare standards. Please support the keep the sheep campaign by clicking on the link and at the minimum sign the petition to keep the sheep. Sign the Petition – Keep The Sheep. This week’s offering falls back to 27,499 bales being offered in Sydney and Melbourne. With Fremantle not offering next week’s sale will be the smallest since September 2020. With this in mind I feel the exporters may have pushed a little harder in the rooms this week to get ahead of their orders with next week’s volume in mind. It’s hard to imagine next week’s market experiencing a negative reaction with such a small offering. I suspect strong support of best style, prepared and specified lots over the next few weeks. |